The Atlanta Braves are set to host the Boston Red Sox at SunTrust Park. The game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising this interleague matchup.
Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Boston (-120) as the favorite over Atlanta (+110). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +125 for picking the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -145 for the Braves +1.5.
The Braves are 76-60 straight up (SU) and 69-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 16.9 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units (ATS). Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Red Sox have gone 94-44 SU this year and are 82-55 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 31.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 26.2 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Atlanta games have a 62-66-6 over/under record in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 64-67-6.
Nathan Eovaldi will get the start for the visiting Red Sox. The right-handed Eovaldi is 5-7 with a 4.35 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Braves are turning to righty Touki Toussaint (1-0, 1.50 ERA), who’s got four strikeouts and two walks as well as a WHIP of 0.67. Toussaint did not pitch in the majors last season.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.50, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.93 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Atlanta hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .251/.294/.389 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Braves’ offense has been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis. Freeman is hitting .306/.388/.504 with 20 home runs, 82 RBIs and 84 runs scored, while Markakis is hitting .303 with 14 homers, 83 RBIs and 72 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.73 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.44, along with a WHIP of 1.21.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .268/.340/.457 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts continue to lead Boston’s hitters. Martinez is slashing .337/.407/.647 with 39 home runs, 115 RBIs and 100 runs scored, while Betts (.340/.428/.636) is up to 29 homers, 70 RBIs, 110 runs and 26 steals.
The Braves have gained 20.4 units and are 53-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under.
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- Boston has tallied 16 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Atlanta has 12 XBH over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
- Boston fielders have two errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
