The Los Angeles Dodgers are ready to take on the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will broadcast this NL showdown and the action gets underway at 12:10 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+145) is coming into this one as the underdog against Los Angeles (-155) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at Dodgers -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins 1.5 runs (-110).
The Dodgers are 16-26 SU and have gone 13-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 26.3 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the season and 16.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 16-26 SU and 21-20 ATS. They’ve lost 1.9 units for moneyline bettors and 2.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Marlins games have a 20-21 over/under record thus far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 20-20-1.
Kenta Maeda is getting the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The right-handed Maeda is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins will put the ball in the left hand of Caleb Smith (2-4, 3.63 ERA, 1.24 WHIP), who has 53 strikeouts and 19 walks. Smith has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.67 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.52 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Miami offense has produced 3.5 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .307/.368/.464 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Marlins hitters have been led by first baseman Justin Bour and catcher J.T. Realmuto. Bour is slashing .246/.387/.484 with nine home runs, 23 RBIs and 15 runs scored, and Realmuto’s line is .316/.375/.558 with six homers, 12 RBIs and 16 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .278/.332/.451, Realmuto didn’t do as well hitting against right-handed pitching at home last season, hitting .194/.260/.269 across 204 plate appearances.
In the other dugout, Los Angeles pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.61 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.93 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.54, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K/9 of 9.25.
The Dodgers offense has slashed .238/.320/.387 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 3.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the teams last five contests (0-5 SU).
Backstop Yasmani Grandal and first baseman Cody Bellinger have led Los Angeles hitters. Grandal is slashing .278/.383/.516 with seven home runs, 26 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Bellinger (.270/.330/.478) has produced six homers, 19 RBIs and 27 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .143/.250/.238 across 48 such plate appearances, Grandal didn’t perform especially well against left-handed pitching on the road last season (compared to his overall season slash line of .247/.308/.459).
The Dodgers have lost 4.5 units and are 6-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.5 units and are 14-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 16 which went under the total.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The Dodgers have lost nine of their last 10 games SU.
- Miami has recorded 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.2 over its last five.
- The Dodgers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
