The Boston Red Sox are paying a visit to Bronx to square off against their divisional rival Yankees at Yankee Stadium. New England Sports Network will be showing the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Odds
Vegas has listed New York (-175) as the favorite over Boston (+165). Bettors are able to gamble on the games total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 8.5 runs and -120 for under 8.5. You can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at -135 for the Red Sox +1.5 runs and +115 for the Yankees -1.5.
The Red Sox are 25-9 SU and have gone 16-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.8 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having lost 2.3 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 24-10 SU and 20-14 ATS. The teams gained 8.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Yankees games have had an over/under record of 20-13-1 thus far in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 18-15-1.
Drew Pomeranz will get the start for the visiting Red Sox. The left-handed Pomeranz is 1-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he did make five starts against the Yankees in 2017, posting a 2-1 record against them with a 4.10 ERA and 28 strikeouts.
The Yankees will send righty Luis Severino (5-1, 2.11 ERA) to the mound. Severino has 52 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.85. Severino is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA over one starts against Boston this year.
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.60 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.38, along with a WHIP of 1.14.
The Red Sox offense has slashed .269/.336/.460 on its way to 5.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).
Boston’s offensive production been led by Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez, who’ve collectively swatted 21 home runs. Betts is slashing .355/.434/.818 with 13 home runs, 26 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Martinez (.349/.396/.619) has produced eight homers, 27 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
Martinez taken a step back when hitting righty pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .255/.299/.588 across 177 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .303/.376/.690).
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The teams starters have an ERA of 3.33, a WHIP of 1.10 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.58 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 12.8 K/9. In 17 games against AL East opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.43 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.00.
The New York offense is putting up 5.8 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .232/.323/.409 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that span.
Shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge have led the Yankees hitters this year. Gregorius is hitting .311/.399/.664 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 27 runs scored, and Judge’s line is .296/.422/.560 with eight homers, 23 RBIs and 26 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .287/.317/.478, Gregorius didn’t perform very well against left-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .289/.309/.382 over 81 such plate appearances.
The Red Sox have gained 12.4 units and are 14-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 3.9 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to five that went under.
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The Yankees have won 15 of their last 16 games SU.
- New York has posted 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.
- The Red Sox have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
