The Utah Jazz (2-1) will be 5.5-point favorites at home in game four of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs when they go head-to-head with the Oklahoma City Thunder (1-2). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 210.5 points and it can be seen on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, April 23, 2018.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Utah Jazz ATS Odds
In game three, Rubio led the Jazz to a 115-102 win. He registered a triple-double with 26 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists. Utah covered as a 4.5-point favorite and the two teams combined for 217 points, which was over the projected point total of 207. Utah won the rebounding battle. The Jazz had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. six), defensive rebounds (35 vs. 27) and total rebounds (48 vs. 33).
This has potential to be a sloppy game for the offense of Utah. Utah ranks 24th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.5 percent), while the gambling defense of Oklahoma City forces the most turnovers in the league (15.3 percent). Furthermore, the Thunder, who rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (27.4 percent), will face off against the Jazz, who rank fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.9 percent).
Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 47 of their 85 games have ended under the O/U total. Oklahoma City heads into the contest with records of 49-36 straight up (SU) and 34-49-2 against the spread (ATS).
A little over half of Jazz games have also finished under the total. Moreover, Utah owns records of 50-35 SU and 45-40 ATS.
Donovan Mitchell and Ricky Rubio have been playing well over the last five games for Utah. Mitchell has averaged 24.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 1.6 steals, while Rubio has recorded 14.8 points, 5.4 rebounds, 5.2 assists and 2.2 steals a game during that span.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Utah Jazz Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Jazz rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.6) while the Thunder rank ninth (43.6).
- Oklahoma City averages 9.1 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. Utah ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
- The Thunder rank fourth in fast break points per game (15.1) while the Jazz rank 22nd (10.4).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in points off turnovers per game (18.9) while Utah ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
- Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (19.9) while Oklahoma City ranks 13th (23.2).
- The Jazz rank third in three pointers allowed per game (26.2) while the Thunder rank 24th (30.6).
- The Thunder rank fifth in rebounds per game (44.9) while the Jazz rank 19th (43.4).
- Oklahoma City ranks first in second chance points per game (14.9) while Utah ranks 22nd (11.5).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Utah is 35-7 and Oklahoma City is 22-5.
- The Thunder are 45-19 when they reach 100 points, while the Jazz are 41-13.
- Utah is 23-19 ATS at home, while Oklahoma City is 18-24 ATS on the road. The total has gone under in 25 of the Jazz’s 42 home games, while 23 of the Thunder’s 42 road games have gone under.
- The Jazz are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Utah has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Oklahoma City has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 98.8 points per game (1.2 below their season average).
- The Thunder’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 3.2 for the season.
