The San Diego Padres will head east to Chase Field to play their division rival Arizona Diamondbacks. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the action and the game will get going at 9:40 p.m. ET.
San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Oddsmakers have listed San Diego (+130) as the dog to Arizona (-140). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over nine runs and -105 for under nine. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Padres +1.5 runs (-170) and Diamondbacks +-1.5 runs (+150).
The Diamondbacks are 13-5 SU and 9-8 ATS. The team has gained 8.0 units for moneyline bettors and 1.2 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Padres have gone 7-13 SU this year and are 8-12 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 6.5 units ATS. San Diego’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Arizona games have an over/under record of 9-8 so far in 2018. Padres games have gone over 10 times, gone under nine times and pushed on one occasion.
Tyson Ross will get the nod for the visiting Padres. The right-handed Ross is 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Diamondbacks will turn to righty Matt Koch (0-0, 0.00 ERA), who has three strikeouts and zero walks to his name as well as a 0.00 WHIP. Koch did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have yielded 3.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.38, a WHIP of 1.12 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.1. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.02, a WHIP of 1.07 and a K/9 of 9.0. In 15 games against NL West opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.31 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.36.
The Arizona offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .209/.259/.417 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is slashing .254/.405/.540 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and 14 runs scored, and Peralta’s line sits at .349/.423/.524 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 11 runs.
Goldschmidt seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home last year, slashing .324/.430/.638 in 249 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .298/.405/.560).
For the visiting squad, San Diego’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.85 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 7.60 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.71, along with a WHIP of 1.62.
The Padres offense has slashed .225/.300/.379 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led San Diego’s hitters. Villanueva is hitting .340/.450/.780 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Hosmer is hitting .264/.346/.444 with two homers, four RBIs and nine runs scored.
The Padres have lost 4.0 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 0.7 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to five that’ve gone under.
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- San Diego fielders have 11 errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Arizona over its last 10.
- The Padres have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 14 over their last 10.
