The New York Yankees are set to host the Miami Marlins at Yankee Stadium. Fox SportsNet Florida will broadcast this interleague showdown. The first pitch will be at 6:35 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees Odds
Vegas has listed New York (-350) as the favorite over Miami (+275). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over eight runs and +100 for under eight. The game’s current runline odds sit at +140 for betting the Marlins +1.5 runs and -160 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.
The Yankees are 7-7 SU and 7-7 ATS. They’ve lost 2.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Marlins are 4-11 SU and have gone 5-9 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.3 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 5.2 units ATS.
Yankees games have an over/under record of 9-4-1 so far in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 7-7.
The Marlins just lost a 7-3 game to the Pirates, while the Yankees are coming off of an 8-6 win against the Tigers.
Caleb Smith (0-1, 4.72 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Marlins. The left-handed Smith recorded 18 strikeouts in 18 innings last year (with 10 walks) but finished the season 0-1 overall with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP.
The Yankees are turning to righty Luis Severino (2-1, 3.50 ERA), who recorded 230 strikeouts across 193 innings last year (31 starts). Severino finished the season 14-6 overall with a 2.98 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.83, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 4.71 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 13.3 K/9.
New York’s offense has produced 5.5 runs per outing, including 6.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .276/.347/.432 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Yankees’ hitters have been led by Aaron Judge, who is hitting .340/.470/.566 with 18 hits, nine RBIs and 13 runs scored. Judge did not perform very well against lefties in 2017. Over 155 plate appearances, he slashed .230/.439/.496 (his overall season line was .284/.422/.627).
For the visiting squad, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.14 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.42.
The Marlins offense has slashed .227/.300/.309 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Miami’s hitters have been led by Brian Anderson. Anderson is slashing .268/.388/.393 with 15 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has cashed in six of New York’s last seven games.
- The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
- New York has posted 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.0 over its last five.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six games SU.
