The Miami Marlins are trying to avoid dropping their fourth consecutive game they play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox SportsNet Florida will be televising this NL matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+115) as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-125). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over nine runs and -105 for under nine. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +120 for taking the Pirates -1.5 runs and -140 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Marlins are only 3-9 SU and 3-9 ATS. They’ve lost 3.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units against the spread (ATS). The Pirates have gone 9-3 SU this year and are 7-4 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year and 4.0 units ATS.
Miami games have an over/under record of 6-6 so far in 2018. The Pirates have an over/under record of 8-3.
The Marlins are coming off of a 4-1 loss against the Mets, while the Pirates just got a 6-1 victory over the Cubs.
Chad Kuhl (1-0, 5.06 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Kuhl recorded 142 strikeouts in 157 innings last year (31 starts) but finished the season 8-11 overall with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP.
The Marlins will be turning to lefty Dillon Peters (1-1, 9.35 ERA), who started 6 games last year while finishing the season 1-2 overall with a 5.17 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 6.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.81, a WHIP of 1.55 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.3 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .210/.281/.315 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Brian Anderson has helped lead the Marlins’ offense this year with 13 hits, nine RBIs and eight runs scored. Anderson seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home in 2017, slashing .303/.425/.455 in 40 such plate appearances (his total season line was .262/.337/.369).
For the visiting squad, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.36 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 7.36 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.97, along with a WHIP of 1.18.
The Pirates offense has slashed .278/.356/.479 on its way to 6.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been paced by Gregory Polanco, who is hitting .262/.385/.714 with 11 hits, five homers, 15 RBIs and 11 runs scored. He seemed to have some trouble hitting left-handed pitchers on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .194/.237/.250 across 38 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .251/.305/.391).
Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Betting Notes
- The over has hit in five of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
- The Pirates have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
- Pittsburgh has recorded 25.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.8 over its last five.
- The Pirates have won three of their last four games SU while the Marlins have lost seven of their last eight SU.
