Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

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The St. Louis Cardinals are playing host to their NL Central foe Milwaukee Brewers at Busch Stadium. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to broadcast the matchup and the game is slated to get going at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

St. Louis (-165) is favored against Milwaukee (+155) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Brewers +1.5 runs (-140) and Cardinals +-1.5 runs (+120).

The Brewers have gone 6-5 SU this year and are 3-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.1 units for moneyline gamblers this year, despite having lost 5.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Cardinals are 4-6 SU and 5-4 ATS. The team’s lost 1.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

St. Louis games have an over/under record of 4-5 so far in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 4-6.

The Brewers have gained 0.1 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 0.1 units and are 1-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in zero of those games, compared to two that went under the total.

Brent Suter (1-1, 6.30 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Brewers. The left-handed Suter started 14 games last year while finishing the season 3-2 overall with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. He made two starts against St. Louis in 2017 and compiled a 0-2 record against the Cardinals with a 5.14 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

The Cardinals have tabbed righty Carlos Martinez (1-1, 2.84 ERA) as their starter. Martinez recorded 217 strikeouts in 205 innings last year (32 starts), while finishing the season 12-11 overall with a 3.64 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. He recorded four starts against the Brewers a year ago and registered a 1-3 record with a 4.30 ERA and 25 strikeouts.

St. Louis’ pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.98, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In four games against divisional foes, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.97.

The St. Louis hitters have produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .211/.278/.286 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Cardinals’ hitters have been led by shortstop Paul DeJong and catcher Yadier Molina. DeJong is slashing .324/.359/.595 with 12 hits, five RBIs and five runs scored, while Molina is batting .289 with 11 hits, six RBIs and five runs.

DeJong enjoyed hitting at home last season, slashing .358/.404/.654 across 193 plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .285/.325/.532).

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.24 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.25, along with a WHIP of 1.49 and a K-per-9 of 9.94.

Brewers hitters have slashed .238/.298/.364 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Milwaukee’s offense has been led by Christian Yelich and Eric Thames. Yelich is slashing .385/.407/.577 with 10 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored, while Thames (.207/.324/.552) is up to six hits, three homers, five RBIs and five runs scored.

Yelich performed well against righty pitching on the road in 2017. Across 270 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .313/.404/.513 (compared to his overall season line of .282/.369/.439).

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Brewers went 11-8 SU against the Cardinals last season.
  • The Cardinals have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • The Cardinals’ bullpen recorded an ERA of 2.38 against the Brewers last year.