Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz ATS Prediction

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The Utah Jazz (47-33), 6.5-point favorites, welcome the Golden State Warriors (58-23) to Vivint Smart Home Arena to open Western Conference play. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 211.5 points and it is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 10, 2018.

Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz Betting Odds

Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Jazz defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 112-97, while the Warriors beat the Phoenix Suns 117-100.

The Warriors, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.571, had a great mark of 0.594 and had a turnover percentage of 10.2 (better than their season average of 13.8). Meanwhile, Utah’s 0.584 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Los Angeles, who had a rate of 0.425. The Jazz’s mark was above their season average of 0.527, while the Lakers’ was below their season average of 0.518. Utah’s Donovan Mitchell had a good outing, contributing 28 points, nine rebounds and eight assists. Klay Thompson, meanwhile fueled Golden State with 34 points.

The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the high-octane offense of Golden State (second in the league with an offensive efficiency of 113.1) takes on the top-notch defense of Utah (second in the league with a defensive efficiency of 102.4).

A little over half of the Warriors’ games have finished over the O/U total. Golden State is 58-23 straight up (SU), but they are just 33-45-3 against the spread (ATS).

There does not appear to be a trend for Jazz games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Further, Utah owns records of 47-33 SU and 42-38 ATS.

Quinn Cook has been solid recently for Golden State, averaging 14.8 points and 5.6 assists over the last five games.

The Jazz lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 201 points, just over the projected point total of 198. Utah won 110-91, covering as a 9-point favorite. Utah’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Golden State. The Jazz had a rate of 0.161, while the Warriors posted a mark of 0.099. Rudy Gobert recorded a double-double with 17 points and 15 rebounds.

Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while the Jazz rank 10th (4.6).
  • Utah ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Golden State ranks 27th (13.6).
  • The Jazz rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while the Warriors rank 22nd (47.2).
  • Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.5) while Utah ranks 20th (22.4).
  • Utah ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (26.1) while Golden State ranks 13th (29.1).
  • The Jazz rank first in fast break points allowed per game (9.8) while the Warriors rank 24th (14.1).
  • The Jazz rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while the Warriors rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.5).
  • Utah ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while Golden State ranks eighth (42.3).
  • Utah ranks fourth in steals per game (8.7) while Golden State ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
  • In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 15-5 and Utah is 33-7.
  • The Jazz are 38-12 when they reach the century mark, while the Warriors are 55-15.
  • Utah is 21-19 ATS at home, while Golden State is 18-21-1 ATS on the road.
  • In 40 road games, the Warriors have 21 overs and 19 unders.
  • Of the Jazz’s 40 home games, they have 24 unders and 16 overs.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Jazz are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Utah has 5 overs, while Golden State has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 114.8 points per game (10.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 99.2 points per game (0.9 below their season average).
  • The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.0, down from 6.5 for the season.