Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz Free Prediction

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The Los Angeles Lakers (33-43), 11.5-point underdogs, will travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to take on the Utah Jazz (44-33). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 208.5 points and it begins at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 3, 2018.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Utah Jazz ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Jazz had no trouble getting past the Minnesota Timberwolves, 121-97, while the Lakers lost a winnable game to the Sacramento Kings, 84-83.

Utah played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.237 (above their season average of 0.203) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.678 (above their season average of 0.524). Minnesota was 0.144 and 0.467, respectively, for those same stats. Los Angeles, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.213 (above their season average of 0.186). Utah was lifted by Ricky Rubio, who contributed 23 points and seven rebounds. Julius Randle fueled Los Angeles with 19 points and five rebounds.

The inefficient offense of Los Angeles (23rd in the league with an offensive efficiency of 104.7) will face off against the elite defense of Utah (second in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 102.4). The Jazz figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Lakers games, with 40 overs compared to 36 unders. Los Angeles comes into the game with records of 33-43 straight up (SU) and 39-36-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Los Angeles, games including the Jazz have a slight tendency to go under the total (51.9 percent). Additionally, Utah owns records of 44-33 SU and 40-37 ATS.

Kyle Kuzma and Randle have been playing well over the last five games for Los Angeles. Kuzma has averaged 22.4 points and 8.4 rebounds per game, while Randle has put up 20.8 points and 10.4 rebounds a game during that span.

In their first matchup this year, Derrick Favors led the Jazz to a 96-81 win. He notched a double-double with 14 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 177 points, which was well under the projected point total of 202.5, and Utah covered as an 11-point favorite. Utah’s effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Los Angeles. The Jazz had a rate of 0.551 while the Lakers posted a mark of 0.414.

Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz Free Pick

Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Jazz, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank 11th in points off turnovers per game (16.7) while the Lakers rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.4).
  • Utah ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (41.7) while Los Angeles ranks 29th (48.8).
  • The Jazz rank second in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while the Lakers rank 23rd (44.7).
  • Utah ranks fourth in steals per game (8.7) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Utah ranks fourth in three pointers allowed per game (26.2) while Los Angeles ranks 19th (30.1).
  • The Jazz rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while the Lakers rank 26th (13.4).
  • The Jazz rank ninth in blocks per game (5.1) while the Lakers rank 26th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
  • Utah ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.0) while Los Angeles ranks 15th (23.3).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in fast break points per game (17.3) while Utah ranks 23rd (10.1).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 13-5 and Utah is 31-7.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Lakers are 30-28 and the Jazz are 35-12.
  • Los Angeles is 19-19-1 ATS on the road, while Utah is 20-18 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 24 of the Jazz’s 38 home games, while 22 of the Lakers’ 39 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Los Angeles and Utah are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Lakers have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Jazz have 4 overs and 1 under
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (5.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.2 points per game (8.4 below their season average).
  • The Jazz’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 3.6 for the season.