The Ole Miss Rebels (11-16, 4-10 SEC), who are currently on a seven-game losing streak, will try to get back in the win column when they travel to Mizzou Arena to meet the Missouri Tigers (18-9, 8-6 SEC). The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 144.5 points with Missouri opening as a 9.5-point favorite. Action gets underway at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 20, 2018.
Ole Miss Rebels at Missouri Tigers ATS Preview
In the Rebels last game, they were beaten by the Mississippi State Bulldogs, 79-62. Breein Tyree put together a good game for Ole Miss, leading the team in scoring with 15 points on 6-for-9 shooting. Mississippi State had an effective field goal percentage of 0.673 (above their season average of 0.526). Ole Miss, on the other hand, did a terrific job of converting from the charity stripe (9-11; 81.8 percent).
The Tigers are trying to rebound after their 64-63 loss to the LSU Tigers in their last outing. Jordan Barnett led Missouri in scoring with 18 points on 6-for-10 shooting. LSU held Missouri to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.6 (below their season average of 32.4). Missouri, meanwhile, held LSU to an effective field goal percentage of 0.465 (below their season average of 0.547).
Missouri could have their way on defense as they battle against one of the NCAA’s worst offenses. The Tigers rank 12th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.457), while Ole Miss is 274th in effective field goal percentage (0.492). Additionally, the Rebels rank 40th in turnover percentage (16.4 percent), while the Tigers rank 294th in opponents turnover percentage (16.8 percent).
Games involving these teams have typically gone under the projected point total. Ole Miss games have gone under 65.4 percent of the time, while Missouri games have finished under 60.0 percent of the time. The Tigers come into this game with considerably better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 18-9 SU and 14-12 ATS, while the Rebels are 11-16 SU and 9-17 ATS.
Kassius Robertson has really been playing well over the last five games for Missouri, averaging 20.6 points per game.
These teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 144 points in that game, which was just under the projected point total of 145. The Tigers won 75-69, covering as 2-point underdogs. Missouri did a great job of making free throws (17-20; 85.0 percent). Ole Miss, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (5.3 vs. 15.1). Jontay Porter put up a double-double in the victory with 18 points and 13 rebounds.
Ole Miss Rebels at Missouri Tigers Free Prediction
Free College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Missouri, ATS Winner – Ole Miss, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Tigers average 4.5 blocks per game, which ranks 35th in the NCAA. The Rebels rank 106th in blocks allowed per game (3.4).
- On the road, Ole Miss is 2-9 ATS with 7 unders and 4 overs.
- Missouri is 7-6 ATS at home with 7 unders and 5 overs.
- Missouri ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (10.8) while Ole Miss ranks 252nd (16.3).
- The Tigers rank 52nd in rebounds allowed per game (32.4) while the Rebels rank 258th (38.0).
- Missouri ranks 88th in three pointers attempted per game (23.7) while Ole Miss ranks 227th in three pointers allowed per game (23.9).
Betting Trends:
- Missouri is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in their last five games.
- Over their last five games, Ole Miss is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Tigers average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.4, down from 6.4 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Rebels have scored an average of 64.4 points per game (11.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 81.0 points per game (4.1 above their season average).
