One winning streak is probably going to reach four games as Head Coach Sean McDermott and the Buffalo Bills take the field against Coach Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots. This AFC East game will get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.
Betting Preview: Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
Buffalo is entering this AFC game as the underdog and is currently getting 7 points. The Patriots are also receiving -280 moneyline odds while the Bills are +230. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 43.5 points, and if one team gets out in front in the early stages, it’ll likely create a solid live betting scenario.
Odds have shifted some from where they originally opened. The line opened at 6.5 while the game’s O/U was placed initially at 44.
The Patriots have gained 1.0 unit so far in 2019 and are 2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 1-2.
The Bills have gained 3.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 0-3.
The Patriots have gone 3-0 straight up (SU), including 2-0 SU against AFC East opponents. The Bills are 3-0 SU overall and 1-0 SU against divisional foes.
The Pats are hoping to stay unbeaten after a 30-14 victory over the Jets in Week 3. The defensive unit did its part in the win, keeping the opposition to just 98 passing yards and 36 rushing yards. Le’Veon Bell had a good day for the Jets in that one with 35 rushing yards on 18 attempts. Offensively, Tom Brady completed 28-of-42 passes for 306 yards and two touchdowns. Rex Burkhead (47 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) provided the running attack while Julian Edelman (seven receptions, 62 yards, one TD) and Josh Gordon (six catches, 83 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Buffalo just earned a 21-17 win over Cincinnati a week ago. The team’s let the Bengals pass for 249 yards and rush for 67 more. Joe Mixon had a productive outing in the loss, recording 61 rushing yards on 15 attempts for Cincinnati. For Buffalo, Josh Allen completed 23-of-36 passes for 243 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Frank Gore (76 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) led the running game as Cole Beasley (eight receptions, 48 yards) and John Brown (four catches, 51 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
New England has run the ball on 45.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has a rush percentage of 48 percent. The Patriots have rushed for 97 yards/game (including 96 per game against East opponents) and have four scores on the ground this year. The Bills are totaling 151.3 rush yards per game (128 in conference) and have five total rushing TDs.
The Pats offensive scheme has tallied 319 yards per game through the air overall (292 per game against conference opposition) and has seven passing scores so far. The Bills have put up 250 pass yards per game (254 in the AFC) and have three total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, New England should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 36.7 rush yards and 186.7 pass yards per game. The Buffalo D has allowed 224.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 88.0 yards per game on the ground. The Pats are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 1.79 to opponents, while the Bills have allowed a 3.99 ANY/A.
Offensively, Brady has put up 647 passing yards this season. He’s completed 67 percent of his 78 attempts with five passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Brady’s got a sparkling 9.37 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.90 over the last two outings.
Josh Allen has completed 47-of-73 passes for 497 yards, two TDs and three INTs for Buffalo. His ANY/A sits at 5.17 for the season and 6.76 over his past two games.
New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Prediction
SU Winner: Patriots, ATS Winner: Patriots, O/U: Over
Team Betting Trends
- The Patriots offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bills have put up two such plays.
- The New England defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Buffalo has given up zero such plays.
- The New England offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Buffalo has created four such runs.
- The Patriots defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Bills have given up two such runs.
- The New England defense has 13 sacks on the year while Buffalo has just seven.
- New England, as a team, has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last two matchups.
- Buffalo has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last two.
- Over its last three matches, Buffalo is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- The Over/Under for New England’s last game was set at 43. The over cashed in the team’s 30-14 victory over the Jets.
- Over its last three matches, New England is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Buffalo’s previous match was 43.5. The under cashed in the 21-17 victory over Cincinnati.
